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This Thanksgiving will mark a milestone in travel, with a surge projected to create one of the busiest travel periods on record.
Nationwide, 55.4 million people are expected to travel over the upcoming holiday weekend.
That’s 2.3% more than last year and the third-largest Thanksgiving travel volume since 2001, according to a report released this week by AAA.
California, in particular, is set to break a record, with nearly 7.5 million residents planning on holiday getaways. That’s an increase of 3% over 2022.
“Travel demand has truly bounced back to pre-pandemic levels,” said Brian Ng, senior vice president of membership and travel marketing for AAA Northern California. “Our holiday travel projections show the year long trend of Californians’ eagerness to get away and create memories with family and friends.”
AAA expects 88% of travelers — which is more than 49 million Americans — to drive to their destination (+1.7 percent from 2022). The skies are also anticipated to be busy, with 8.5% — or over 4.7 million people — flying to their holiday destinations (+6.6 percent from 2022).
To ensure a smooth and enjoyable trip, AAA Northern California offers four Thanksgiving travel tips:
Road-ready your ride. If you don’t want to be one of the estimated 360,000 Thanksgiving travelers calling AAA for roadside assistance nationwide, get a pre-trip inspection at a AAA Auto Repair Center to ensure your vehicle is ready to hit the road.
Plan ahead. Use the AAA Mobile App to locate the cheapest gas and EV chargers, request roadside assistance more quickly, and save money with discounts.
Budget accordingly. While California gas prices have seen a slight decrease (-36 cents) compared to last year, they remain relatively high. The AAA Mobile app is now available in CarPlay, helping you find the nearest gas and EV stations, compare fuel prices, and drive with confidence.
Outsmart the crowds. If flying, arrive at the airport early. If driving, consider aiming for off-peak periods (before 11 a.m. or after 6 p.m.), especially on the Wednesday before Thanksgiving.
Nationwide, 55.4 million people are expected to travel over the upcoming holiday weekend.
That’s 2.3% more than last year and the third-largest Thanksgiving travel volume since 2001, according to a report released this week by AAA.
California, in particular, is set to break a record, with nearly 7.5 million residents planning on holiday getaways. That’s an increase of 3% over 2022.
“Travel demand has truly bounced back to pre-pandemic levels,” said Brian Ng, senior vice president of membership and travel marketing for AAA Northern California. “Our holiday travel projections show the year long trend of Californians’ eagerness to get away and create memories with family and friends.”
AAA expects 88% of travelers — which is more than 49 million Americans — to drive to their destination (+1.7 percent from 2022). The skies are also anticipated to be busy, with 8.5% — or over 4.7 million people — flying to their holiday destinations (+6.6 percent from 2022).
To ensure a smooth and enjoyable trip, AAA Northern California offers four Thanksgiving travel tips:
Road-ready your ride. If you don’t want to be one of the estimated 360,000 Thanksgiving travelers calling AAA for roadside assistance nationwide, get a pre-trip inspection at a AAA Auto Repair Center to ensure your vehicle is ready to hit the road.
Plan ahead. Use the AAA Mobile App to locate the cheapest gas and EV chargers, request roadside assistance more quickly, and save money with discounts.
Budget accordingly. While California gas prices have seen a slight decrease (-36 cents) compared to last year, they remain relatively high. The AAA Mobile app is now available in CarPlay, helping you find the nearest gas and EV stations, compare fuel prices, and drive with confidence.
Outsmart the crowds. If flying, arrive at the airport early. If driving, consider aiming for off-peak periods (before 11 a.m. or after 6 p.m.), especially on the Wednesday before Thanksgiving.
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA — A former assistant chief in Cal Fire’s Sonoma Lake Napa Unit has been appointed to one of Cal Fire’s key statewide leadership positions.
Anale Burlew, of San Anselmo, has been appointed Cal Fire’s chief deputy director by Gov. Gavin Newsom.
Burlew has been assistant deputy director, fire protection operations at Cal Fire since 2022 and has served in several positions there since 2011, including deputy chief, command and control, assistant chief, Sonoma Lake Napa Unit Central Operations; battalion chief, Nevada Yuba Placer Unit; and battalion chief, Northern Region Headquarters.
She earned a Bachelor of Science degree in fire service management from California State University, Sacramento.
This position does not require Senate confirmation and the compensation is $219,360.
Burlew is a Democrat.
LAKE COUNTY, Calif. — Recent rains and cooler temperatures across the region have lowered the threat of wildfires, allowing Cal Fire’s Sonoma-Lake-Napa Unit to begin downstaffing from its peak staffing levels.
A total of 10 fire engines will be downstaffed on Monday, Nov. 13.
Cal Fire’s Sonoma-Lake-Napa Unit, or LNU, will continue to operate with 21 state engines — one at every fire station in the Unit — and staff 153 seasonal firefighters in addition to the 250-plus permanent suppression staff after that date.
“Living in California, we must understand that it’s not just a fire season, but rather a year-round vulnerability to wildfires,” said Cal Fire Unit Chief Mike Marcucci. “In our year-round fire state, we have different staffing levels that correspond to fire conditions. We are starting to experience shorter days and our fuel moisture levels are coming up, but we remain ready for the threat of wildfire on the appropriate level.”
Boggs Copter 612, the Sikorsky S70i Cal Fire Hawk based at the Boggs Mountain Helitack Base in Lake County, will be leaving the unit for the season on Nov. 13.
Operations at the Sonoma Air Attack Base will continue after that date with the use of one air tanker and one air attack plane.
The hand crew out of the Hood Mountain Fire Center in Sonoma County will also remain staffed at this time.
Cal Fire will continue to monitor weather conditions closely and maintains the ability to increase staffing should weather conditions change or if there is a need to support wildfires or other emergencies in other areas of the state.
There have been 340 wildfires that have burned merely 657 acres in Cal Fire LNU’s jurisdiction this year.
It is the third year in a row with a significant reduction in wildfire activity, Cal Fire reported.
During the six-year fire siege the unit saw between 2015 and 2020, the fire activity averages saw 526 fires burn 172,827 acres per year.
Cal Fire said this positive trend can be attributed to several key factors, including the ongoing efforts in fuels reduction and prescribed burns along with the staffing and resources dedicated to firefighting.
The region has also seen favorable weather conditions that aided in containment efforts.
During the cooler months, Cal Fire said it will continue its aggressive fuel modification work.
Residents and neighborhoods are also encouraged to focus on much of the same to help build resilience to wildfire for their homes and communities.
To learn more about building defensible space and other protective measures you can take, please visit www.readyforwildfire.org.
A total of 10 fire engines will be downstaffed on Monday, Nov. 13.
Cal Fire’s Sonoma-Lake-Napa Unit, or LNU, will continue to operate with 21 state engines — one at every fire station in the Unit — and staff 153 seasonal firefighters in addition to the 250-plus permanent suppression staff after that date.
“Living in California, we must understand that it’s not just a fire season, but rather a year-round vulnerability to wildfires,” said Cal Fire Unit Chief Mike Marcucci. “In our year-round fire state, we have different staffing levels that correspond to fire conditions. We are starting to experience shorter days and our fuel moisture levels are coming up, but we remain ready for the threat of wildfire on the appropriate level.”
Boggs Copter 612, the Sikorsky S70i Cal Fire Hawk based at the Boggs Mountain Helitack Base in Lake County, will be leaving the unit for the season on Nov. 13.
Operations at the Sonoma Air Attack Base will continue after that date with the use of one air tanker and one air attack plane.
The hand crew out of the Hood Mountain Fire Center in Sonoma County will also remain staffed at this time.
Cal Fire will continue to monitor weather conditions closely and maintains the ability to increase staffing should weather conditions change or if there is a need to support wildfires or other emergencies in other areas of the state.
There have been 340 wildfires that have burned merely 657 acres in Cal Fire LNU’s jurisdiction this year.
It is the third year in a row with a significant reduction in wildfire activity, Cal Fire reported.
During the six-year fire siege the unit saw between 2015 and 2020, the fire activity averages saw 526 fires burn 172,827 acres per year.
Cal Fire said this positive trend can be attributed to several key factors, including the ongoing efforts in fuels reduction and prescribed burns along with the staffing and resources dedicated to firefighting.
The region has also seen favorable weather conditions that aided in containment efforts.
During the cooler months, Cal Fire said it will continue its aggressive fuel modification work.
Residents and neighborhoods are also encouraged to focus on much of the same to help build resilience to wildfire for their homes and communities.
To learn more about building defensible space and other protective measures you can take, please visit www.readyforwildfire.org.
LAKE COUNTY, Calif. — The Board of Supervisors on Tuesday will discuss a new contract for around the clock sheltering services for homeless Lake County residents.
The board will meet beginning at 9 a.m. Tuesday, Nov. 14, in the board chambers on the first floor of the Lake County Courthouse, 255 N. Forbes St., Lakeport.
The meeting can be watched live on Channel 8, online at https://countyoflake.legistar.com/Calendar.aspx and on the county’s Facebook page. Accompanying board documents, the agenda and archived board meeting videos also are available at that link.
To participate in real-time, join the Zoom meeting by clicking this link.
The meeting ID is 988 4488 3652, pass code 667243. The meeting also can be accessed via one tap mobile at +16694449171,,98844883652#,,,,*667243#.
In an untimed item, the board will consider an agreement between Lake County Behavioral Health Services Department, acting as the lead administrative entity for the Lake County Continuum of Care, and Redwood Community Services Inc. for running the homeless shelter at the former juvenile hall in north Lakeport.
Under the terms of the contract, Redwood Community Services will receive $2,417,489.64 for fiscal years 2023 to 2026.
Redwood Community Services will run the shelter 24/7, as opposed to how it has been run previously, which required those sheltering there to leave during the day.
Behavioral Health Director Elise Jones’ report said the funds for the contract come from the Homeless Housing Incentive Program and the Homeless Housing and Assistance Program.
The full agenda follows.
CONSENT AGENDA
5.1: Approve letter of support for CalWild’s State Coastal Conservancy Grant funding request to support Upper Eel River watershed community visioning process.
5.2: Adopt resolution amending Resolution 2023-117 establishing position allocations for Fiscal Year 2023-2024, Budget Unit 2111, Public Defender.
5.3: Adopt resolution approving Agreement No. 23-0606-000-SG with California Department of Food and Agriculture for compliance with the High Risk Pest Exclusion Program for the period July 1, 2023, through June 30, 2024, in the amount of $10,320.51.
5.4: Approve continuation of proclamation declaring a Clear Lake hitch emergency.
5.5: Approve continuation of proclamation of the existence of a local emergency due to pervasive tree mortality.
5.6: Approve continuation of an emergency declaration for drought conditions.
5.7: Approve continuation of proclamation of the existence of a local emergency due to low elevation snow and extreme cold.
5.8: Approve amendment one to the agreement with Digital Path Inc. for use of the communications facility on Buckingham Peak of Mt. Konocti for a reduction of rent from $2,550 to $1,200 per month effective Aug. 1, 2023, and authorize the chair to sign.
5.9: Approve amendment two to the agreement between the county of Lake and SCS Engineers for engineering design services for the Eastlake Landfill Expansion Project in the amount of $14,120 for a total contract amount of $273,520, and authorize the chair to sign.
5.10: Adopt resolution expressing support for the Lower Lake HoliDAZE Street Fair, and temporarily authorizing a road closure, prohibiting parking and authorizing removal of vehicles and ordering the posting of signs.
5.11: Approve just compensation for a portion of the property listed in Attachment A be no less than the fair market value, as determined by appraisals performed by Bender Rosenthal Inc., and formally reviewed and certified by Sierra West Valuation, and authorize the Public Works director to provide approval to commence negotiations.
5.12: Adopt resolution for the acceptance of Congressional earmark funding to construct the Kelseyville Sidewalks Project.
5.13: Approve a professional services agreement between the county of Lake and Coastland Civil Engineering LLP., for engineering services for staff augmentation in an amount not to exceed $250,000 per year and authorize the chair to sign the agreement.
5.14: Approve first amendment to contract between county of Lake and North Coast Opportunities Inc. for stage one childcare services, in the amount of $642,856.00 per fiscal year from July 1, 2023 to June 30, 2025, and authorize the chair to sign.
TIMED ITEMS
6.2, 9:07 a.m.: Pet of the Week.
6.3, 9:08 a.m.: New and noteworthy at the Library.
6.4, 9:10 a.m.: Consideration of the Sept. 30, 2023 report of Lake County pooled investments.
6.5, 9:30 a.m.: Consideration of presentation on California Jobs First Catalyst Fund proposal.
UNTIMED ITEMS
7.2: Consideration of emergency proclamation declaring a shelter crisis in the county of Lake.
7.3: Consideration of agreement between county of Lake — Lake County Behavioral Health Services Department, as the lead administrative entity for the Lake County Continuum of Care and Redwood Community Services Inc. in the amount of $2,417,489.64 for fiscal years 2023-26.
CLOSED SESSION
8.1: Addendum, conference with legal counsel: Existing litigation pursuant to Gov. Code sec. 54956.9 (d)(1) — McCormick v. California Public Employees’ Retirement System, et al.
Email Elizabeth Larson atThis email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. . Follow her on Twitter, @ERLarson, or Lake County News, @LakeCoNews.
The board will meet beginning at 9 a.m. Tuesday, Nov. 14, in the board chambers on the first floor of the Lake County Courthouse, 255 N. Forbes St., Lakeport.
The meeting can be watched live on Channel 8, online at https://countyoflake.legistar.com/Calendar.aspx and on the county’s Facebook page. Accompanying board documents, the agenda and archived board meeting videos also are available at that link.
To participate in real-time, join the Zoom meeting by clicking this link.
The meeting ID is 988 4488 3652, pass code 667243. The meeting also can be accessed via one tap mobile at +16694449171,,98844883652#,,,,*667243#.
In an untimed item, the board will consider an agreement between Lake County Behavioral Health Services Department, acting as the lead administrative entity for the Lake County Continuum of Care, and Redwood Community Services Inc. for running the homeless shelter at the former juvenile hall in north Lakeport.
Under the terms of the contract, Redwood Community Services will receive $2,417,489.64 for fiscal years 2023 to 2026.
Redwood Community Services will run the shelter 24/7, as opposed to how it has been run previously, which required those sheltering there to leave during the day.
Behavioral Health Director Elise Jones’ report said the funds for the contract come from the Homeless Housing Incentive Program and the Homeless Housing and Assistance Program.
The full agenda follows.
CONSENT AGENDA
5.1: Approve letter of support for CalWild’s State Coastal Conservancy Grant funding request to support Upper Eel River watershed community visioning process.
5.2: Adopt resolution amending Resolution 2023-117 establishing position allocations for Fiscal Year 2023-2024, Budget Unit 2111, Public Defender.
5.3: Adopt resolution approving Agreement No. 23-0606-000-SG with California Department of Food and Agriculture for compliance with the High Risk Pest Exclusion Program for the period July 1, 2023, through June 30, 2024, in the amount of $10,320.51.
5.4: Approve continuation of proclamation declaring a Clear Lake hitch emergency.
5.5: Approve continuation of proclamation of the existence of a local emergency due to pervasive tree mortality.
5.6: Approve continuation of an emergency declaration for drought conditions.
5.7: Approve continuation of proclamation of the existence of a local emergency due to low elevation snow and extreme cold.
5.8: Approve amendment one to the agreement with Digital Path Inc. for use of the communications facility on Buckingham Peak of Mt. Konocti for a reduction of rent from $2,550 to $1,200 per month effective Aug. 1, 2023, and authorize the chair to sign.
5.9: Approve amendment two to the agreement between the county of Lake and SCS Engineers for engineering design services for the Eastlake Landfill Expansion Project in the amount of $14,120 for a total contract amount of $273,520, and authorize the chair to sign.
5.10: Adopt resolution expressing support for the Lower Lake HoliDAZE Street Fair, and temporarily authorizing a road closure, prohibiting parking and authorizing removal of vehicles and ordering the posting of signs.
5.11: Approve just compensation for a portion of the property listed in Attachment A be no less than the fair market value, as determined by appraisals performed by Bender Rosenthal Inc., and formally reviewed and certified by Sierra West Valuation, and authorize the Public Works director to provide approval to commence negotiations.
5.12: Adopt resolution for the acceptance of Congressional earmark funding to construct the Kelseyville Sidewalks Project.
5.13: Approve a professional services agreement between the county of Lake and Coastland Civil Engineering LLP., for engineering services for staff augmentation in an amount not to exceed $250,000 per year and authorize the chair to sign the agreement.
5.14: Approve first amendment to contract between county of Lake and North Coast Opportunities Inc. for stage one childcare services, in the amount of $642,856.00 per fiscal year from July 1, 2023 to June 30, 2025, and authorize the chair to sign.
TIMED ITEMS
6.2, 9:07 a.m.: Pet of the Week.
6.3, 9:08 a.m.: New and noteworthy at the Library.
6.4, 9:10 a.m.: Consideration of the Sept. 30, 2023 report of Lake County pooled investments.
6.5, 9:30 a.m.: Consideration of presentation on California Jobs First Catalyst Fund proposal.
UNTIMED ITEMS
7.2: Consideration of emergency proclamation declaring a shelter crisis in the county of Lake.
7.3: Consideration of agreement between county of Lake — Lake County Behavioral Health Services Department, as the lead administrative entity for the Lake County Continuum of Care and Redwood Community Services Inc. in the amount of $2,417,489.64 for fiscal years 2023-26.
CLOSED SESSION
8.1: Addendum, conference with legal counsel: Existing litigation pursuant to Gov. Code sec. 54956.9 (d)(1) — McCormick v. California Public Employees’ Retirement System, et al.
Email Elizabeth Larson at
The U.S. population is projected to reach a high of nearly 370 million in 2080 before edging downward to 366 million in 2100.
By 2100, the total U.S. resident population is only projected to increase 9.7% from 2022, according to the latest U.S. Census Bureau population projections.
The projections provide possible scenarios of population change for the nation through the end of the century.
The 2023 National Population Projections is an update to the last series of projections, published in 2017, to account for the impact of COVID-19 and to reflect the results of the 2020 Census through its inclusion of the Vintage 2022 National Population Estimates as a base.
It also extends the population projections to 2100, the first time since 2000 that the Census Bureau projections have stretched this far into the future.
“In an ever-changing world, understanding population dynamics is crucial for shaping policies and planning resources,” stated Sandra Johnson, a demographer at the Census Bureau.
“The U.S. has experienced notable shifts in the components of population change over the last five years,” she explained. “Some of these, like the increases in mortality caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, are expected to be short-term while others, including the declines in fertility that have persisted for decades, are likely to continue into the future. Incorporating additional years of data on births, deaths and international migration into our projections process resulted in a slower pace of population growth through 2060 than was previously projected.”
Projections illustrate possible courses of population change based on assumptions about future births, deaths and net international migration.
The 2023 projections include a main series (also known as the middle series) considered the most likely outcome of four assumptions, and three alternative immigration scenarios that show how the population might change under high, low and zero immigration assumptions.
Other highlights:
Total population
By 2100, the total population in the middle series is projected to reach 366 million compared to the projection for the high-immigration scenario, which puts the population at 435 million. The population for the middle series increases to a peak at 370 million in 2080 and then begins to decline, dropping to 366 million in 2100. The high-immigration scenario increases every year and is projected to reach 435 million by 2100.
The low-immigration scenario is projected to peak at around 346 million in 2043 and decline thereafter, dropping to 319 million in 2100.
Though largely illustrative, the zero-immigration scenario projects that population declines would start in 2024 in the complete absence of foreign-born immigration. The population in this scenario is projected to be 226 million in 2100, roughly 107 million lower than the 2022 estimate.
Drivers of population change
In each of the projection scenarios except for the zero-immigration scenario, immigration is projected to become the largest contributor to population growth.
In the middle series and the high-immigration scenario, net international migration is higher than natural increase (the difference between births and deaths) in all years of the time series. For the low-immigration scenario, this crossover happens in 2029.
Reduced fertility and an aging population result in natural decrease — an excess of deaths relative to births — in all projection scenarios. This happens in 2038 in the main series, 2033 in the zero-immigration scenario, 2036 in the low-immigration scenario, and in 2042 in the high-immigration scenario.
Age and sex
Continued declines in fertility are projected to shift the age structure of the population so that there will be more adults age 65 or older compared to children under age 18.
In the middle series, the share of the population in the older age group surpasses that of the younger age group in 2029 and, by 2100, 29.1% of the population is projected to be age 65 or older compared to 16.4% under age 18. This crossover happens in 2030 in the high-immigration scenario, 2029 in the low-immigration scenario, and 2028 in the zero-immigration scenario.
The share of the population age 65 or older in 2100 ranges from 27.4% in the high-immigration scenario to 35.6% in the zero-immigration scenario.
Similarly, the median age of the U.S. population, which represents the age at which half the population is older and half is younger, is projected to increase over time in all projection scenarios.
In 2022, the median age for the total population was 38.9. In 2100, this is projected to increase to 47.9 in the middle series, 46.5 in the high-immigration scenario, 49.2 in the low-immigration scenario, and 53.6 in the zero-immigration scenario.
Median age is currently higher for females, who tend to have longer life expectancies at birth compared to males, and this trend is projected to continue. In the middle series it is projected that in 2100, the median age for females will be 49.1 and the median age for males will be 46.8.
Projected median age in 2100 for females ranges from 47.7 in the high-immigration scenario to 54.8 in the zero-immigration scenario.
For males, the projected values in 2100 range from 45.4 in the high-immigration scenario to 52.5 in the zero-immigration scenario.
Race and Hispanic origin
Non-Hispanic White alone was the most prevalent race or ethnic group in the United States in 2022 (58.9%), followed by Hispanic (19.1%) and non-Hispanic Black alone (12.6%). Although the share of the population in each of these groups is projected to change over time, these three groups are projected to remain the most prevalent through 2060 in all immigration scenarios.
In 2060, the non-Hispanic White alone population is projected to decline to 44.9% in the middle series, 42.7% in the high-immigration scenario, 46.6% in the low-immigration scenario, and to 50.7% in the zero-immigration scenario.
At the same time, the Hispanic population is projected to increase to 26.9% in the middle series in 2060, 27.8% in the high-immigration scenario, 26.2% in the low-immigration scenario, and to 24.6% in the zero-immigration scenario.
The non-Hispanic Black alone population is expected to remain at around 13% in 2060 in all of the immigration scenarios.
Nativity
The projected share of the population that is foreign-born is highly influenced by assumptions regarding international migration.
In 2022, 13.9% of the U.S. population was foreign-born. In the main series, this share is projected to increase to 19.5% in 2100, while the high-immigration scenario projects an increase to 24.4% and the low-immigration scenario projects an increase to 14.9%.
The zero-immigration scenario projects a decline in the share of the population that is foreign-born to 0.3% in 2100.
By 2100, the total U.S. resident population is only projected to increase 9.7% from 2022, according to the latest U.S. Census Bureau population projections.
The projections provide possible scenarios of population change for the nation through the end of the century.
The 2023 National Population Projections is an update to the last series of projections, published in 2017, to account for the impact of COVID-19 and to reflect the results of the 2020 Census through its inclusion of the Vintage 2022 National Population Estimates as a base.
It also extends the population projections to 2100, the first time since 2000 that the Census Bureau projections have stretched this far into the future.
“In an ever-changing world, understanding population dynamics is crucial for shaping policies and planning resources,” stated Sandra Johnson, a demographer at the Census Bureau.
“The U.S. has experienced notable shifts in the components of population change over the last five years,” she explained. “Some of these, like the increases in mortality caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, are expected to be short-term while others, including the declines in fertility that have persisted for decades, are likely to continue into the future. Incorporating additional years of data on births, deaths and international migration into our projections process resulted in a slower pace of population growth through 2060 than was previously projected.”
Projections illustrate possible courses of population change based on assumptions about future births, deaths and net international migration.
The 2023 projections include a main series (also known as the middle series) considered the most likely outcome of four assumptions, and three alternative immigration scenarios that show how the population might change under high, low and zero immigration assumptions.
Other highlights:
Total population
By 2100, the total population in the middle series is projected to reach 366 million compared to the projection for the high-immigration scenario, which puts the population at 435 million. The population for the middle series increases to a peak at 370 million in 2080 and then begins to decline, dropping to 366 million in 2100. The high-immigration scenario increases every year and is projected to reach 435 million by 2100.
The low-immigration scenario is projected to peak at around 346 million in 2043 and decline thereafter, dropping to 319 million in 2100.
Though largely illustrative, the zero-immigration scenario projects that population declines would start in 2024 in the complete absence of foreign-born immigration. The population in this scenario is projected to be 226 million in 2100, roughly 107 million lower than the 2022 estimate.
Drivers of population change
In each of the projection scenarios except for the zero-immigration scenario, immigration is projected to become the largest contributor to population growth.
In the middle series and the high-immigration scenario, net international migration is higher than natural increase (the difference between births and deaths) in all years of the time series. For the low-immigration scenario, this crossover happens in 2029.
Reduced fertility and an aging population result in natural decrease — an excess of deaths relative to births — in all projection scenarios. This happens in 2038 in the main series, 2033 in the zero-immigration scenario, 2036 in the low-immigration scenario, and in 2042 in the high-immigration scenario.
Age and sex
Continued declines in fertility are projected to shift the age structure of the population so that there will be more adults age 65 or older compared to children under age 18.
In the middle series, the share of the population in the older age group surpasses that of the younger age group in 2029 and, by 2100, 29.1% of the population is projected to be age 65 or older compared to 16.4% under age 18. This crossover happens in 2030 in the high-immigration scenario, 2029 in the low-immigration scenario, and 2028 in the zero-immigration scenario.
The share of the population age 65 or older in 2100 ranges from 27.4% in the high-immigration scenario to 35.6% in the zero-immigration scenario.
Similarly, the median age of the U.S. population, which represents the age at which half the population is older and half is younger, is projected to increase over time in all projection scenarios.
In 2022, the median age for the total population was 38.9. In 2100, this is projected to increase to 47.9 in the middle series, 46.5 in the high-immigration scenario, 49.2 in the low-immigration scenario, and 53.6 in the zero-immigration scenario.
Median age is currently higher for females, who tend to have longer life expectancies at birth compared to males, and this trend is projected to continue. In the middle series it is projected that in 2100, the median age for females will be 49.1 and the median age for males will be 46.8.
Projected median age in 2100 for females ranges from 47.7 in the high-immigration scenario to 54.8 in the zero-immigration scenario.
For males, the projected values in 2100 range from 45.4 in the high-immigration scenario to 52.5 in the zero-immigration scenario.
Race and Hispanic origin
Non-Hispanic White alone was the most prevalent race or ethnic group in the United States in 2022 (58.9%), followed by Hispanic (19.1%) and non-Hispanic Black alone (12.6%). Although the share of the population in each of these groups is projected to change over time, these three groups are projected to remain the most prevalent through 2060 in all immigration scenarios.
In 2060, the non-Hispanic White alone population is projected to decline to 44.9% in the middle series, 42.7% in the high-immigration scenario, 46.6% in the low-immigration scenario, and to 50.7% in the zero-immigration scenario.
At the same time, the Hispanic population is projected to increase to 26.9% in the middle series in 2060, 27.8% in the high-immigration scenario, 26.2% in the low-immigration scenario, and to 24.6% in the zero-immigration scenario.
The non-Hispanic Black alone population is expected to remain at around 13% in 2060 in all of the immigration scenarios.
Nativity
The projected share of the population that is foreign-born is highly influenced by assumptions regarding international migration.
In 2022, 13.9% of the U.S. population was foreign-born. In the main series, this share is projected to increase to 19.5% in 2100, while the high-immigration scenario projects an increase to 24.4% and the low-immigration scenario projects an increase to 14.9%.
The zero-immigration scenario projects a decline in the share of the population that is foreign-born to 0.3% in 2100.
LAKE COUNTY, Calif. — Lake County Animal Care and Control has numerous kittens and older cats waiting to be adopted.
The cats at the shelter that are shown on this page have been cleared for adoption.
Call Lake County Animal Care and Control at 707-263-0278 or visit the shelter online for information on visiting or adopting.
The shelter is located at 4949 Helbush in Lakeport.
Email Elizabeth Larson atThis email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. . Follow her on Twitter, @ERLarson, or Lake County News, @LakeCoNews.
The cats at the shelter that are shown on this page have been cleared for adoption.
Call Lake County Animal Care and Control at 707-263-0278 or visit the shelter online for information on visiting or adopting.
The shelter is located at 4949 Helbush in Lakeport.
Email Elizabeth Larson at
C#96
A#12b(YellowCollar)
A#70c(RedCollar)
A#12c(PinkCollar)
A#70b (GreenCollar)
A#58a(PinkCollar)
A#58b(RedCollar)
A#58c(GreenCollar)
A#133