News
LAKE COUNTY, Calif. – The system of highway motorist aid call boxes is undergoing updates.
The Lake Area Planning Council, the local agency responsible for maintaining the Call Box Program in Lake County, the Lake Service Authority for Freeway Emergencies, or SAFE, is currently working to facilitate a necessary, systemwide upgrade.
APC said the majority of call boxes in Lake County operate on cellular service, and the service provider has recently transitioned from 3G to 4G network technology.
The internal radios of the call boxes were designed to work with the former 3G service. As a result, the APC said some boxes could become inoperable until their hardware can be upgraded for compatibility with the newer cellular signal.
The APC said its staff is working closely with the provider and technicians to upgrade the radios. However, progress has been delayed by the limited availability of the new radios and statewide demand.
While working through this upgrade process, APC said its staff continues to monitor and place call boxes in out-of-service status until they begin operating correctly.
The APC said the Lake SAFE program appreciates the patience of all travelers during this transition and upgrade.
To report a call box not working properly, please call 707-234-3314.
The Lake Area Planning Council, the local agency responsible for maintaining the Call Box Program in Lake County, the Lake Service Authority for Freeway Emergencies, or SAFE, is currently working to facilitate a necessary, systemwide upgrade.
APC said the majority of call boxes in Lake County operate on cellular service, and the service provider has recently transitioned from 3G to 4G network technology.
The internal radios of the call boxes were designed to work with the former 3G service. As a result, the APC said some boxes could become inoperable until their hardware can be upgraded for compatibility with the newer cellular signal.
The APC said its staff is working closely with the provider and technicians to upgrade the radios. However, progress has been delayed by the limited availability of the new radios and statewide demand.
While working through this upgrade process, APC said its staff continues to monitor and place call boxes in out-of-service status until they begin operating correctly.
The APC said the Lake SAFE program appreciates the patience of all travelers during this transition and upgrade.
To report a call box not working properly, please call 707-234-3314.
The GPS-collared gray wolf known as OR-93 continues to travel farther south in California than the collared wolves that have preceded him.
OR-93 has traversed a significant distance since the California Department of Fish and Wildlife announced he was in Modoc County in early February.
Over the past few weeks, he moved from Mono County, through parts of Tuolumne, Mariposa, Merced and Madera counties.
The last collar reading showed the wolf in agricultural areas in central Fresno County, officials reported.
OR-93 is a young male that dispersed from Oregon’s White River pack, southeast of Mt. Hood.
He was fitted with a tracking collar by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and Confederated Tribes of Warm Springs within the White River pack’s territory in June 2020. Like many young wolves, he subsequently left his pack in search of a new territory and/or a mate.
Gray wolves are listed as endangered pursuant to California’s Endangered Species Act, or CESA. It is unlawful to harass, harm, pursue, hunt, shoot, wound, kill, trap or capture gray wolves.
Anyone who believes they have seen a wolf in California can report it to CDFW at www.wildlife.ca.gov/Conservation/Mammals/Gray-Wolf/Sighting-Report.
Though gray wolves are generally much bigger than coyotes, they can sometimes be misidentified.
CDFW encourages the public to review this page that provides tips for differentiating between wolves, coyotes and dogs.
OR-93 also has a purple collar around his neck which should make the animal more identifiable.
Gray wolf management in California is guided by CESA as well as CDFW’s Conservation Plan for Gray Wolves in California, finalized in 2016.
More information is available on CDFW’s wolf webpage at www.wildlife.ca.gov/conservation/mammals/gray-wolf.
Gray wolves pose very little safety risk to humans. CDFW is working to monitor and conserve California’s small wolf population and is collaborating with livestock producers and diverse stakeholders to minimize wolf-livestock conflicts.
CDFW will continue to monitor his whereabouts with the cooperation of the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife.
OR-93 has traversed a significant distance since the California Department of Fish and Wildlife announced he was in Modoc County in early February.
Over the past few weeks, he moved from Mono County, through parts of Tuolumne, Mariposa, Merced and Madera counties.
The last collar reading showed the wolf in agricultural areas in central Fresno County, officials reported.
OR-93 is a young male that dispersed from Oregon’s White River pack, southeast of Mt. Hood.
He was fitted with a tracking collar by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and Confederated Tribes of Warm Springs within the White River pack’s territory in June 2020. Like many young wolves, he subsequently left his pack in search of a new territory and/or a mate.
Gray wolves are listed as endangered pursuant to California’s Endangered Species Act, or CESA. It is unlawful to harass, harm, pursue, hunt, shoot, wound, kill, trap or capture gray wolves.
Anyone who believes they have seen a wolf in California can report it to CDFW at www.wildlife.ca.gov/Conservation/Mammals/Gray-Wolf/Sighting-Report.
Though gray wolves are generally much bigger than coyotes, they can sometimes be misidentified.
CDFW encourages the public to review this page that provides tips for differentiating between wolves, coyotes and dogs.
OR-93 also has a purple collar around his neck which should make the animal more identifiable.
Gray wolf management in California is guided by CESA as well as CDFW’s Conservation Plan for Gray Wolves in California, finalized in 2016.
More information is available on CDFW’s wolf webpage at www.wildlife.ca.gov/conservation/mammals/gray-wolf.
Gray wolves pose very little safety risk to humans. CDFW is working to monitor and conserve California’s small wolf population and is collaborating with livestock producers and diverse stakeholders to minimize wolf-livestock conflicts.
CDFW will continue to monitor his whereabouts with the cooperation of the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife.
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA – Cal Fire investigators said they’ve traced the cause of last year’s Zogg fire in Shasta County to a tree that hit electrical equipment operated by Pacific Gas and Electric Co.
The Zogg fire began on Sept. 27, 2020, on Zogg Mine Road and Jenny Bird Lane, north of the community of Igo.
The fire ultimately burned a total of 56,338 acres in Shasta and Tehama counties, destroyed 204 structures and caused four civilian fatalities and one non-life-threatening injury, Cal Fire said.
Cal Fire said its investigators were immediately dispatched to the Zogg fire and began working to determine the origin and cause of the fire.
After “a meticulous and thorough investigation,” Cal Fire said it has determined that the Zogg fire was caused by a pine tree contacting electrical distribution lines owned and operated by PG&E located north of Igo.
In response to Cal Fire’s report, PG&E issued a statement in which the company said, "The loss of life and devastation in the communities impacted by the Zogg Fire is tragic, and we recognize that nothing can heal the hearts of those who have lost so much. We also thank the courageous first responders who saved lives, protected property and worked to contain and put out the fire.”
PG&E said it has fully cooperated with Cal Fire’s investigation.
“While we have not been given access to Cal Fire's report or evidence it collected, we look forward to reviewing both when we are allowed to do so. We filed an Electric Incident Report with the California Public Utilities Commission on Oct. 9, 2020, related to the Zogg Fire,” the company reported.
PG&E said it remains focused “on continuing to reduce wildfire risk throughout our system and executing on the commitments made in our 2021 Wildfire Mitigation Plan,” which include new electric grid technology, hardening of the electric system, accelerated inspections of electric infrastructure, enhanced vegetation management around power lines, and real-time monitoring and situational awareness tools to better understand how severe weather can impact PG&E's system.
“PG&E's most important responsibility is the safety of our customers and communities we serve. As the threat of extreme weather continues to impact portions of California, we remain focused on preventing major wildfires and are committed to our mission to safely deliver energy to our customers and communities,” the company said.
The Zogg Fire investigative report has been forwarded to the Shasta County District Attorney’s Office, Cal Fire said.
The Zogg fire began on Sept. 27, 2020, on Zogg Mine Road and Jenny Bird Lane, north of the community of Igo.
The fire ultimately burned a total of 56,338 acres in Shasta and Tehama counties, destroyed 204 structures and caused four civilian fatalities and one non-life-threatening injury, Cal Fire said.
Cal Fire said its investigators were immediately dispatched to the Zogg fire and began working to determine the origin and cause of the fire.
After “a meticulous and thorough investigation,” Cal Fire said it has determined that the Zogg fire was caused by a pine tree contacting electrical distribution lines owned and operated by PG&E located north of Igo.
In response to Cal Fire’s report, PG&E issued a statement in which the company said, "The loss of life and devastation in the communities impacted by the Zogg Fire is tragic, and we recognize that nothing can heal the hearts of those who have lost so much. We also thank the courageous first responders who saved lives, protected property and worked to contain and put out the fire.”
PG&E said it has fully cooperated with Cal Fire’s investigation.
“While we have not been given access to Cal Fire's report or evidence it collected, we look forward to reviewing both when we are allowed to do so. We filed an Electric Incident Report with the California Public Utilities Commission on Oct. 9, 2020, related to the Zogg Fire,” the company reported.
PG&E said it remains focused “on continuing to reduce wildfire risk throughout our system and executing on the commitments made in our 2021 Wildfire Mitigation Plan,” which include new electric grid technology, hardening of the electric system, accelerated inspections of electric infrastructure, enhanced vegetation management around power lines, and real-time monitoring and situational awareness tools to better understand how severe weather can impact PG&E's system.
“PG&E's most important responsibility is the safety of our customers and communities we serve. As the threat of extreme weather continues to impact portions of California, we remain focused on preventing major wildfires and are committed to our mission to safely deliver energy to our customers and communities,” the company said.
The Zogg Fire investigative report has been forwarded to the Shasta County District Attorney’s Office, Cal Fire said.
LAKE COUNTY, Calif. – Starting Tuesday, March 23, all branches of the Lake County Library are open for browsing and checkout of materials.
A mask covering the nose and mouth and social distancing is required.
Library visitors can sanitize their hands with sanitizer readily available throughout the building.
Safety remains a top priority. Staff will be monitoring the building to make sure the library doesn't go over capacity limits set by California state guidelines.
The library is asking visitors to limit the amount of time they spend in the library to ensure equal access.
Due to their smaller size, entry to the Middletown and Upper Lake branches will be by appointment only. Please call the Middletown branch at 707-987-3674 or the Upper Lake branch at 707-275-2049 to set up an appointment.
The public computers providing access to the library's blazing fast Internet connection will be available as well. There are fewer computer stations open to ensure proper social distancing.
Despite the previous restrictions on in-person services like browsing the shelves, the library remained open by providing contactless pick up of books and materials. The library also lent notebook computers to use in the parking lot with the library Wi-Fi.
Over the past year, the library expanded its digital offerings and saw even more residents taking advantage of eBooks, streaming video, and downloadable audiobooks than ever before.
Digital checkouts are up 62 percent compared to the year before.
While people can now come inside for in-person browsing and computer use, safety precautions are still in place.
The library will continue to use Zoom for its book clubs, crafting clubs, and other events. Amy is one of the library staff members who hosts events online for the library. She has seen the events help connect people despite social distancing. "We've seen some people join our clubs that couldn't make it in person before, so it's been really fun to continue these meetings online," she said.
You can register for library events on their website or by contacting your local branch over the phone.
Learn more about the Lake County Library at http://library.lakecountyca.gov.
LAKE COUNTY, Calif. – On Tuesday, the Board of Supervisors will return to a meeting format that will be open to in-person participation from community members thanks to changes in state restrictions for Lake County.
The meeting will begin at 9 a.m. Tuesday, March 23.
With the county moving into the red tier last week on the state’s COVID-19 Blueprint for a Safer Economy, the board will return to a hybrid meeting model that includes both Zoom and in-person participation by the public in the board chambers on the first floor of the Lake County Courthouse, 255 N. Forbes St. in Lakeport.
The meeting can be watched live on Channel 8, online at https://countyoflake.legistar.com/Calendar.aspx and on the county’s Facebook page. Accompanying board documents, the agenda and archived board meeting videos also are available at that link.
To participate in real-time, join the Zoom meeting by clicking this link at 9 a.m.
The meeting ID is 939 2613 1795, password 755349. The meeting also can be accessed via one tap mobile at +16699006833,,93926131795#,,,,*755349# US.
All interested members of the public that do not have internet access or a Mediacom cable subscription are encouraged to call 669-900-6833, and enter the Zoom meeting ID and passcode information above.
To submit a written comment on any agenda item please visit https://countyoflake.legistar.com/Calendar.aspx and click on the eComment feature linked to the meeting date. If a comment is submitted after the meeting begins, it may not be read during the meeting but will become a part of the record.
At 9:06 a.m., the board will get its weekly update on COVID-19 from Public Health Officer Dr. Gary Pace.
At 10:15 a.m., the county will present the Employee Service Awards.
At 10:30 a.m., the board will consider a report from the Lake County Tourism Improvement District on its activities over the past year and approve an agreement between the county of Lake and Visit Lake County California for the provision of administrative services in the amount of $78,000 from March 2, 2021 to June 30, 2021, and authorize the chair to sign.
County Administrative Officer Carol Huchingson’s report to the board states that the board passed a resolution on June 19, 2018, declaring the intention to establish the Lake County Tourism Improvement District, or LCTID.
The LCTID Board is composed of lodging business owners, a representative from the county of Lake, the city of Clearlake and the city of Lakeport as well as other tourism representatives and was seated on Nov. 7, 2018, Huchingson said.
She said the official manager of the LCTID is Visit Lake County California, a 501(c)3 organization which acts as the owners’ association for the LCTID.
“With the establishment of the LCTID and its own revenue stream, County staff are no longer engaged in tourism marketing directly and funds previously used for direct services are now provided to the LCTID for marketing and destination tourism activities, which promote the local economy,” Huchingson said.
Huchingson asked for the board’s approval of the agreement, which authorizes the county to provide funds for the purpose of marketing Lake County.
“Historically, the funds for these services have been directed to multiple vendors. With the creation of the LCTID the funds can now be directed to one vendor (Visit Lake County California) which will be responsible for promoting Lake County as a tourist, meeting and event destination,” Huchingson said.
The full agenda follows.
CONSENT AGENDA
5.1: (A) Approve the purchase of a Probewell Electric Meter; and (B) approve a budget transfer; and (c) authorize the ag commissioner/sealer to sign the purchase order.
5.2: Adopt resolution authorizing the agreement between the county of Lake and the Sierra Health Foundation: Center for Health Program Management Services for the period of Sept. 1, 2020, through June 30, 2021, and authorize the Behavioral Health Services director to sign the agreement.
5.3: A) Authorize the district attorney/assistant purchasing agent to issue a purchase order for $6,662.55 to L.C. Action Police Supply for eight Glock duty weapons; and B) approve budget transfer in Budget Unit 2110, District Attorney Department to Object Code 62-74, to purchase duty weapons for district attorney investigators.
5.4: (a) Waive the formal bidding process, pursuant to Lake County Code Section 38.2, as it is not in the public interest due to the unique nature of goods or services; and (b) approve the first amendment to the agreement between the county of Lake and Management Connections for Temporary Staffing Support Services completed during Fiscal Year 2020-21 for a sum of $150,000 and authorize the board chair to sign the amendment.
5.5: Approve utility agreement between the county of Lake and Lower Lake County Waterworks District No. 1 for the relocation of a water main on the Clayton Creek Road at Clayton Creek Bridge Replacement Project; Bid No. 20-10; Federal Aid Project No: BRLO-5914(077).
TIMED ITEMS
6.2, 9:06 a.m.: Consideration of update on COVID-19.
6.3, 9:45 a.m.: Public hearing, vacatIon of a roadway known as Arabian Lane (CR#148D) in the Hidden Valley Lake area.
6.4, 10:15 a.m.: Presentation of Employee Service Awards.
6.5, 10:30 a.m.: (a) Consideration of report from the Lake County Tourism Improvement District on its activities over the past year; and (b) approve agreement between the county of Lake and Visit Lake County California for the provision of administrative services in the amount of $78,000 from March 2, 2021 to June 30, 2021, and authorize the chair to sign.
CLOSED SESSION
8.1: Conference with legal counsel: Significant exposure to litigation pursuant to Gov. Code section 54956.9 (d)(2)(e)(3): Claim of Earthways Inc.
8.2: Public employee evaluation: Title, Health Services director.
Email Elizabeth Larson atThis email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. . Follow her on Twitter, @ERLarson, or Lake County News, @LakeCoNews.
The meeting will begin at 9 a.m. Tuesday, March 23.
With the county moving into the red tier last week on the state’s COVID-19 Blueprint for a Safer Economy, the board will return to a hybrid meeting model that includes both Zoom and in-person participation by the public in the board chambers on the first floor of the Lake County Courthouse, 255 N. Forbes St. in Lakeport.
The meeting can be watched live on Channel 8, online at https://countyoflake.legistar.com/Calendar.aspx and on the county’s Facebook page. Accompanying board documents, the agenda and archived board meeting videos also are available at that link.
To participate in real-time, join the Zoom meeting by clicking this link at 9 a.m.
The meeting ID is 939 2613 1795, password 755349. The meeting also can be accessed via one tap mobile at +16699006833,,93926131795#,,,,*755349# US.
All interested members of the public that do not have internet access or a Mediacom cable subscription are encouraged to call 669-900-6833, and enter the Zoom meeting ID and passcode information above.
To submit a written comment on any agenda item please visit https://countyoflake.legistar.com/Calendar.aspx and click on the eComment feature linked to the meeting date. If a comment is submitted after the meeting begins, it may not be read during the meeting but will become a part of the record.
At 9:06 a.m., the board will get its weekly update on COVID-19 from Public Health Officer Dr. Gary Pace.
At 10:15 a.m., the county will present the Employee Service Awards.
At 10:30 a.m., the board will consider a report from the Lake County Tourism Improvement District on its activities over the past year and approve an agreement between the county of Lake and Visit Lake County California for the provision of administrative services in the amount of $78,000 from March 2, 2021 to June 30, 2021, and authorize the chair to sign.
County Administrative Officer Carol Huchingson’s report to the board states that the board passed a resolution on June 19, 2018, declaring the intention to establish the Lake County Tourism Improvement District, or LCTID.
The LCTID Board is composed of lodging business owners, a representative from the county of Lake, the city of Clearlake and the city of Lakeport as well as other tourism representatives and was seated on Nov. 7, 2018, Huchingson said.
She said the official manager of the LCTID is Visit Lake County California, a 501(c)3 organization which acts as the owners’ association for the LCTID.
“With the establishment of the LCTID and its own revenue stream, County staff are no longer engaged in tourism marketing directly and funds previously used for direct services are now provided to the LCTID for marketing and destination tourism activities, which promote the local economy,” Huchingson said.
Huchingson asked for the board’s approval of the agreement, which authorizes the county to provide funds for the purpose of marketing Lake County.
“Historically, the funds for these services have been directed to multiple vendors. With the creation of the LCTID the funds can now be directed to one vendor (Visit Lake County California) which will be responsible for promoting Lake County as a tourist, meeting and event destination,” Huchingson said.
The full agenda follows.
CONSENT AGENDA
5.1: (A) Approve the purchase of a Probewell Electric Meter; and (B) approve a budget transfer; and (c) authorize the ag commissioner/sealer to sign the purchase order.
5.2: Adopt resolution authorizing the agreement between the county of Lake and the Sierra Health Foundation: Center for Health Program Management Services for the period of Sept. 1, 2020, through June 30, 2021, and authorize the Behavioral Health Services director to sign the agreement.
5.3: A) Authorize the district attorney/assistant purchasing agent to issue a purchase order for $6,662.55 to L.C. Action Police Supply for eight Glock duty weapons; and B) approve budget transfer in Budget Unit 2110, District Attorney Department to Object Code 62-74, to purchase duty weapons for district attorney investigators.
5.4: (a) Waive the formal bidding process, pursuant to Lake County Code Section 38.2, as it is not in the public interest due to the unique nature of goods or services; and (b) approve the first amendment to the agreement between the county of Lake and Management Connections for Temporary Staffing Support Services completed during Fiscal Year 2020-21 for a sum of $150,000 and authorize the board chair to sign the amendment.
5.5: Approve utility agreement between the county of Lake and Lower Lake County Waterworks District No. 1 for the relocation of a water main on the Clayton Creek Road at Clayton Creek Bridge Replacement Project; Bid No. 20-10; Federal Aid Project No: BRLO-5914(077).
TIMED ITEMS
6.2, 9:06 a.m.: Consideration of update on COVID-19.
6.3, 9:45 a.m.: Public hearing, vacatIon of a roadway known as Arabian Lane (CR#148D) in the Hidden Valley Lake area.
6.4, 10:15 a.m.: Presentation of Employee Service Awards.
6.5, 10:30 a.m.: (a) Consideration of report from the Lake County Tourism Improvement District on its activities over the past year; and (b) approve agreement between the county of Lake and Visit Lake County California for the provision of administrative services in the amount of $78,000 from March 2, 2021 to June 30, 2021, and authorize the chair to sign.
CLOSED SESSION
8.1: Conference with legal counsel: Significant exposure to litigation pursuant to Gov. Code section 54956.9 (d)(2)(e)(3): Claim of Earthways Inc.
8.2: Public employee evaluation: Title, Health Services director.
Email Elizabeth Larson at
New research released by the nonpartisan California Policy Lab finds that contrary to suggestions about a mass exodus from California, most moves in 2020 happened within the state.
Exits from California in 2020 largely mirrored historical patterns, while the biggest statewide change was a decrease in people moving into California.
Using a new dataset of quarterly credit bureau data, the research team analyzed where Californians from each county moved after the pandemic struck in March 2020.
“While a mass exodus from California clearly didn’t happen in 2020, the pandemic did change some historical patterns, for example, fewer people moved into the state to replace those who left,” explains author Natalie Holmes, a Research Fellow at the California Policy Lab and a graduate student at the Goldman School of Public Policy at UC Berkeley. “At the county level, however, San Francisco is experiencing a unique and dramatic exodus, which is causing 50 percent or 100 percent increases in Bay Area in-migration for some counties in the Sierras.”
“Some folks seem to be worried about the tax implications of wealthy individuals leaving the state, but we don’t yet see any dramatic evidence that rich households are fleeing California en masse,” comments Evan White, executive director of the California Policy Lab at UC Berkeley. “Unfortunately, because the state relies heavily on income taxes on the uber-wealthy, the departure of even small numbers of wealthy people could negatively impact revenues if they aren’t replaced with new entrants.”
This is the first published analysis using a new dataset of quarterly credit and residency information that CPL will use to inform the state’s understanding of mobility, wildfire impacts, financial well-being and student loans.
The data shows that Lake County had 1,062 exits in Q4 of 2020, down by 2.5 percent over the prior year. At the same time, Lake County had 1,148 entrances, up by 1.4 percent over the same time period in 2019. The total share of the population that moved was 3.2 percent.
Fifteen counties had lower exit rates than Lake County, based on the data.
Among the key findings, the study discovered that the share of movers that leave the state has grown slightly since 2015, from 16 percent to 18 percent, a trend that continued in 2020 with no marked increase.
Historically, the number of people leaving California tracks the number of people entering California, but this pattern deviated in Q4 2020, when 267,000 people left the state and only 128,000 entered.
The research also found that there is no evidence that wealthy households are leaving the state en masse. Their rates of exit track trends in less wealthy areas.
Net exits from San Francisco from the end of March to the end of the year increased 649 percent as compared to the same period in 2019, from 5,200 net exits to 38,800.
Researchers also found that approximately two-thirds of people who moved out of San Francisco remained within the 11-county Bay Area economic region, and 80 percent remained in California.
Counties in the Sierra Nevada mountains and other parts of Northern California saw huge increases in entrances by former Bay Area residents, with 50 percent and in some cases 100 plus more in-migrants in 2020 as compared to 2019.
This analysis uses the University of California Consumer Credit Panel, or UC-CCP, a new dataset created through a partnership between the California Policy Lab, the Student Borrower Protection Center and the Student Loan Law Initiative.
The UC-CCP consists of data from Experian, and contains longitudinal information about adults with a credit history who have lived in California since 2004.
Data includes each person’s zip code of residence, as reported by creditors, and credit information at a quarterly frequency. We define moves as changes in zip codes from one quarter to the next.
The analysis is focused on reported moves – defined as the date when that move is reported to financial institutions and shows up in the dataset – which are expected to lag behind actual moves.
More information about methodology is included in the report.
Sean Coffey writes for the UC Berkeley News Center and the California Policy Lab.
Exits from California in 2020 largely mirrored historical patterns, while the biggest statewide change was a decrease in people moving into California.
Using a new dataset of quarterly credit bureau data, the research team analyzed where Californians from each county moved after the pandemic struck in March 2020.
“While a mass exodus from California clearly didn’t happen in 2020, the pandemic did change some historical patterns, for example, fewer people moved into the state to replace those who left,” explains author Natalie Holmes, a Research Fellow at the California Policy Lab and a graduate student at the Goldman School of Public Policy at UC Berkeley. “At the county level, however, San Francisco is experiencing a unique and dramatic exodus, which is causing 50 percent or 100 percent increases in Bay Area in-migration for some counties in the Sierras.”
“Some folks seem to be worried about the tax implications of wealthy individuals leaving the state, but we don’t yet see any dramatic evidence that rich households are fleeing California en masse,” comments Evan White, executive director of the California Policy Lab at UC Berkeley. “Unfortunately, because the state relies heavily on income taxes on the uber-wealthy, the departure of even small numbers of wealthy people could negatively impact revenues if they aren’t replaced with new entrants.”
This is the first published analysis using a new dataset of quarterly credit and residency information that CPL will use to inform the state’s understanding of mobility, wildfire impacts, financial well-being and student loans.
The data shows that Lake County had 1,062 exits in Q4 of 2020, down by 2.5 percent over the prior year. At the same time, Lake County had 1,148 entrances, up by 1.4 percent over the same time period in 2019. The total share of the population that moved was 3.2 percent.
Fifteen counties had lower exit rates than Lake County, based on the data.
Among the key findings, the study discovered that the share of movers that leave the state has grown slightly since 2015, from 16 percent to 18 percent, a trend that continued in 2020 with no marked increase.
Historically, the number of people leaving California tracks the number of people entering California, but this pattern deviated in Q4 2020, when 267,000 people left the state and only 128,000 entered.
The research also found that there is no evidence that wealthy households are leaving the state en masse. Their rates of exit track trends in less wealthy areas.
Net exits from San Francisco from the end of March to the end of the year increased 649 percent as compared to the same period in 2019, from 5,200 net exits to 38,800.
Researchers also found that approximately two-thirds of people who moved out of San Francisco remained within the 11-county Bay Area economic region, and 80 percent remained in California.
Counties in the Sierra Nevada mountains and other parts of Northern California saw huge increases in entrances by former Bay Area residents, with 50 percent and in some cases 100 plus more in-migrants in 2020 as compared to 2019.
This analysis uses the University of California Consumer Credit Panel, or UC-CCP, a new dataset created through a partnership between the California Policy Lab, the Student Borrower Protection Center and the Student Loan Law Initiative.
The UC-CCP consists of data from Experian, and contains longitudinal information about adults with a credit history who have lived in California since 2004.
Data includes each person’s zip code of residence, as reported by creditors, and credit information at a quarterly frequency. We define moves as changes in zip codes from one quarter to the next.
The analysis is focused on reported moves – defined as the date when that move is reported to financial institutions and shows up in the dataset – which are expected to lag behind actual moves.
More information about methodology is included in the report.
Sean Coffey writes for the UC Berkeley News Center and the California Policy Lab.
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